Wallet dossier
0xef9f447115075a4a8b7edd8eac47a64e094179ee
Stats describe Polytracker's observed sample. They are not claims about the wallet's full history.
Tracked flow$1.4K
Observed trades12
Markets10
Resolved P&L sample$20.1K
Recent activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No90¢$450.0Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes90¢$196.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes81¢$0.2Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No6¢$182.7Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes85¢$43.0Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No99¢$5.0Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No99¢$0.2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No92¢$552.0Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No78¢$2.9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No67¢$1.1Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No93¢$2.1Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No73¢$2.6
Top observed markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?1 trades$552.0Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?1 trades$450.0Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?1 trades$196.0Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?1 trades$182.7Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?1 trades$43.0Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?2 trades$5.5Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?2 trades$5.2Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?1 trades$2.1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?1 trades$1.1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?1 trades$0.2