Wallet dossier
0xd519189d472dd43bf780a6238900cc1dcdf950fb
Stats describe Polytracker's observed sample. They are not claims about the wallet's full history.
Tracked flow$640.7
Observed trades23
Markets17
Resolved P&L sample$60.7K
Recent activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No72¢$55.2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No64¢$40.4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes27¢$20.4Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansTampa Bay Rays41¢$20.2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No74¢$48.9Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes65¢$7.9Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No75¢$26.1Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No58¢$4.5Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No51¢$13.1Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No58¢$16.3Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes26¢$16.3Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No57¢$26.6Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No68¢$20.7Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?No63¢$18.8Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No74¢$23.9US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No80¢$39.1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No56¢$9.7Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes61¢$9.1Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No47¢$28.7Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No47¢$50.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes15¢$39.1US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes18¢$45.7US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes18¢$59.9
Top observed markets
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?2 trades$84.8Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?2 trades$78.7Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?3 trades$66.3US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?1 trades$59.9US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?1 trades$55.2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?1 trades$48.9Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?2 trades$42.9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?1 trades$40.4Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?1 trades$39.1Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?2 trades$25.2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?1 trades$20.4Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians1 trades$20.2