Wallet dossier
0xbf4d202382ba5702721a8c43126f5f08163733ed
Stats describe Polytracker's observed sample. They are not claims about the wallet's full history.
Tracked flow$5.9K
Observed trades18
Markets15
Resolved P&L sample$85.2K
Recent activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes74¢$84.4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes81¢$556.6Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes67¢$83.3Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes67¢$30.2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes67¢$164.2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes66¢$166.2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No90¢$543.1Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No61¢$48.8Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes29¢$1.4KUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No68¢$280.5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No92¢$57.3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No36¢$109.6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No94¢$56.5US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No74¢$703.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No22¢$42.5US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No85¢$1.4KU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?No91¢$40.0Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No46¢$121.7
Top observed markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?1 trades$1.4KIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?1 trades$1.4KUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?1 trades$703.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?1 trades$556.6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?1 trades$543.1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?2 trades$330.3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?1 trades$280.5Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?2 trades$167.7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?2 trades$152.1Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?1 trades$121.7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?1 trades$57.3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?1 trades$56.5