Wallet dossier
0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35
Stats describe Polytracker's observed sample. They are not claims about the wallet's full history.
Tracked flow$129.8K
Observed trades38
Markets36
Resolved P&L sample$7.2M
Recent activity
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes27¢$159.9Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No99¢$259.2Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No22¢$409.1Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes57¢$3.7K Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes32¢$43.3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes10¢$111.1Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes66¢$37.8MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No100¢$45.3KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes53¢$135.9US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No85¢$41.9KUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes64¢$370.9Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No81¢$32.4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes82¢$135.6Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No92¢$11.6KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes11¢$601.9Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No35¢$513.1Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes78¢$3.3KWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?No81¢$242.4Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No20¢$2.0KKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes6¢$52.6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No86¢$4.8KUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes25¢$66.7US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No65¢$722.2Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes14¢$363.1Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes57¢$379.6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No83¢$552.8US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No100¢$2.5KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No93¢$603.4Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No86¢$30.6Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No93¢$6.6K
Top observed markets
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?1 trades$45.3KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?1 trades$41.9KWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?1 trades$11.6KWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?1 trades$6.6KUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?1 trades$4.8KWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?1 trades$3.7KIran closes its airspace by May 27?1 trades$3.3KUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?1 trades$2.5KWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?1 trades$2.0KTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?1 trades$1.7KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?2 trades$1.3KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?1 trades$603.4