Wallet dossier
0x98405ff1b31ccd265f60e31ce1b34d9d8e15e6bc
Stats describe Polytracker's observed sample. They are not claims about the wallet's full history.
Tracked flow$639.2
Observed trades26
Markets20
Resolved P&L sample$16.5
Recent activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No100¢$20.7Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No100¢$20.7Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No99¢$30.0Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No100¢$20.0Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No100¢$20.0MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes100¢$94.3Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes99¢$36.5Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No98¢$20.2Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No97¢$100.0Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No99¢$6.3Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No98¢$20.0Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No100¢$17.8Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No98¢$20.0Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No99¢$10.9Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No99¢$20.0Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No100¢$20.0Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No99¢$6.4Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes99¢$0.6Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No99¢$14.8Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes99¢$20.0Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No100¢$20.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No99¢$12.9Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No99¢$25.0Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No99¢$8.0Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No100¢$25.0Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No98¢$29.1
Top observed markets
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?1 trades$100.0MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?1 trades$94.3Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?2 trades$40.0Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?1 trades$36.5Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?2 trades$34.8Epstein suicide note released by May 8?1 trades$30.0Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1 trades$29.1Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?2 trades$25.7Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?1 trades$25.0Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 trades$25.0Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?3 trades$23.7Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?1 trades$20.7