Wallet dossier
0x54498e4c40b17261479aeaeeddf9cc37bd46992b
Stats describe Polytracker's observed sample. They are not claims about the wallet's full history.
Tracked flow$112.3
Observed trades36
Markets20
Resolved P&L sample$23.8K
Recent activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No45¢$52.6Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes37¢$1.2Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes90¢$14.9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No74¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No71¢$1.2Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes99¢$1.2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No55¢$2.9US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No55¢$0.6Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No37¢$0.1Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes100¢$1.0Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Yes98¢$1.0Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes63¢$1.6Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes7¢$1.0Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes7¢$1.0Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes7¢$1.0Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No83¢$0.5North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Yes93¢$1.0Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No91¢$2.5Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes54¢$2.5US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes20¢$1.0
Top observed markets
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?1 trades$52.6Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?1 trades$14.9US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?11 trades$13.7Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?5 trades$6.5US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?2 trades$3.4Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?1 trades$2.5Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?1 trades$2.5Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?1 trades$2.5Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?1 trades$2.5Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?1 trades$1.6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?2 trades$1.4Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?1 trades$1.2