Wallet dossier
0x048215305cbcf7cc790735bf00119551d75c6b0a
Stats describe Polytracker's observed sample. They are not claims about the wallet's full history.
Tracked flow$9.2K
Observed trades26
Markets25
Resolved P&L sample$161.1K
Recent activity
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes8¢$55.6Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes46¢$1.0KWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes27¢$40.7US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes52¢$325.0US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes35¢$325.0US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes32¢$375.1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes25¢$1.3KIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes12¢$142.6US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes9¢$216.2Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Yes37¢$544.7US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes7¢$85.5Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes15¢$147.4Trump kiss by May 31?No5¢$49.8Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes15¢$75.0Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes17¢$180.2Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes23¢$460.0Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes6¢$180.0Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes11¢$22.2Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes11¢$43.6Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes79¢$1.2KWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?No90¢$2.1KIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes11¢$35.5Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?No4¢$94.7Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes15¢$58.2Will Trump say "N Word" in April?Yes6¢$171.7Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes6¢$16.5
Top observed markets
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?1 trades$2.1KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?2 trades$1.3KWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?1 trades$1.2KWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?1 trades$1.0KWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?1 trades$544.7Iran closes its airspace by May 8?1 trades$460.0US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 141 trades$375.1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?1 trades$325.0US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?1 trades$325.0US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?1 trades$216.2Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?1 trades$180.2Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?1 trades$180.0